Saturday, December 04, 2004
Miscellanea 12/04/2004
John Leo has an entertaining look at some recent over-the-top rhetoric (hat tip for this and the above to Townhall.com)...
A simply grand article on the beginnings of 'Fisking' by David Pryce-Jones (you've got to register first, but it's free) (hat tip to bebere)...
Everyone's all abuzz about this article by Peter Beinart in the New Republic that finally shows some sensible advice for Democrats (TNR has always struck me as the most reasonable of the lefty sites)...
A Quick Note on Commenting Etiquette
John Kerry - Candidate Profile Three
If there's an 'unofficial' Kerry 2008 site, I didn't find it (not a good sign in itself).
John Forbes Kerry - link to more than you ever wanted to know about 'JFK'
Resume: Former Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts; long-time junior Senator from Massachussetts; Democratic Presidential Candidate 2004
Hard to think of many pros, but there are tons of cons to another Kerry presidential bid. He turns off vast amounts of the electorate and he lost by a pretty good margin to a president many saw as vulnerable. Here are some other reasons I think he won't get a second chance.
1. The Hillary Factor - Hillary Clinton is possibly the only person who can inspire more simultaneous hatred and adoration than George W. Bush. A hero to many on the left, she is equally despised on the right. If she is nominated, it will prove to me that the Democrats have not learned any lessons from 2004; still, the Clintonistas remain strong.
2. Vietnam - James Taranto at Best of the Web had a hilarious habit of referring to Kerry as the haughty, French-looking Massachusetts Democrat, who by the way served in Vietnam. Vietnam is the perfect window into Kerry's flip-flopping persona. He wants to be recognized as a hero for serving (heroically - I'm not one of those who knocks his war record) in a war that he claimed was morally reprehensible. Kerry never understood that his opposition to the Vietnam War was not the problem, it was his over-the-top testimony about 'war crimes' culled from the bogus Winter Soldier Investigation. If Kerry's candidacy proved one thing, it is that Americans are sick of Vietnam.
3. The Opportunist Perception - Kerry just doesn't seem to stand for anything other than his conviction of his own superiority. The pattern seems to be: ride Vietnam opposition to a political career, marry a rich widow, and then hang out being a rich Senator.
Add it all up, and I don't see a serious bid in the cards.
(hat tips to BushBlog 2004, Free Republic, and Nurse Ratched)
CURRENT ODDS: 18-1
UPDATE 01/03/05 6:49 pm central: An article that appeared in Newsweek seems to indicate Kerry is seriously considering a run. I take issue with its assertion that Kerry is one of the favorites (with Hillary), and the contention that people aren't blaming Kerry (I've seen plenty of 'Progressives' who thought they had a dog candidate). More importantly, I don't see anything that changes the dynamics of my original post. I have bumped him only slightly.
CURRENT ODDS: 15-1
UPDATE 01/12/05 2:08 pm central: Yet another sign of Kerry's inclination to run again is the launching of JohnKerry.com (hat tip to Citizen Frank)...
CURRENT ODDS: 13-1
UPDATE 02/06/05 11:51 pm central: Yep, he's gonna try to run again - and I like his odds less than ever. After his embarrasing pessimism in the aftermath of the Iraqi elections, I'm knocking him down a bit.
CURRENT ODDS: 16-1
UPDATE 03/10/05 9:15 pm central: See this post for latest downward revision.
CURRENT ODDS: 19-1
UPDATE 04/25/05 6:58 pm central: See here...
CURRENT ODDS: 22-1
UPDATE 06/12/05 5:30 p.m central: Be sure to check the comments to this post to learn of some unofficial Kerry 2008 sites that have gone up since I originally posted this. Also, in light of Kerry's continued buffoonery re: the Form SF-180 (can Kerry be upfront about ANYTHING?), I'm docking him again.
CURRENT ODDS: 26-1
UPDATE 07/04/05 10:28 p.m. central: Kerry gets the slightest of bumps more from inertia than anything tangible...
CURRENT ODDS: 25-1
Some Thoughts On Structure
- Candidate Profiles (after all, I've named this thing Decision '08) - and I've been a little remiss in this area, so I'm shooting for two this weekend;
- In Praise Of...- where I'll rave like a lunatic about something I love (bookstores came first);
- the Oil-For-Food Scandal, at least until Kofi Annan resigns
- and Weekly Jackass, where I'll rave like a lunatic about someone or something I hate (such a harsh word - maybe just something that I really, really, really don't like).
I'll also regularly post links to other pages and blogs under Miscellanea, mainly because I'm tired of trying to think up cute names and I'm REALLY tired of saying "blogosphere".
And finally, I'll post the occasional essay on topics that I feel have some relevance to the world of politics (or just to try to look smart).
In other words, I'll just keep doing what I have been - now what was my point? Oh, yeah, now I remember - how about that Dan Rather?
Fresh Links (Saturday Edition)
Blogging, I've discovered, it not all fun and games. For example, it is my sad duty to report to you that Barney, the White House Dog (or is that the First Dog?), has replaced his Picture of the Day with the Picture of the Week due to an apparent contract dispute....
David Skinner at Galley Slaves disagrees with Jacob Weisberg on the subject of re-reading Tom Wolfe (confession: I recently re-read Bonfire of the Vanities)....
Finally, we move to yet another future Weekly Jackass - Bill Moyers. I missed this news in my glee over the departure of Dan Rather. Moyers is (was) the obscure host of an obscure show on obscure PBS called NOW with Bill Moyers. A typical show consisted of Moyers and some other pretentious blowhard talking about how businessmen were destroying the world with their religious beliefs and capitalistic ideas (not to mention their support for - GASP! - Republicans). You can imagine my grief, then, in finding out that Moyers is leaving to write a book on Lyndon Johnson, his former boss (ANOTHER book on Lyndon Johnson? Oooohhhh, I can't wait). If this doesn't strike you as big news, that's because it isn't. If you can name six people who regularly watch the show - well, then you're hanging out with the wrong people.
Friday, December 03, 2004
So Many Posts, So Little Time (Special New Criterion Edition)
Also from the New Criterion's weblog Armavirumque (now why didn't I think of that name?), Roger Kimball is feeling a familiar queasy feeling....
Let's make it a hat trick...the New Criterion again with an article on my favorite whippin' boy, Dan Rather, and fellow lefty dinosaur Lewis Lapham (o.k., the article is from October, but I wasn't blogging then, and besides....it's Dan Rather!)...
In Praise of Bookstores
I could go on and on, but its not a great story, just one more frustrated driver. To jump to the point: I stopped on the way home at a bookstore to do some Christmas shopping, and it occurred to me (and not for the first time) how relaxing I find the thought of books to be. So many great books and interesting overheard conversations. Example - tonight, an older man was seated next to a teenage girl and they were earnestly talking about - I kid you not - principles, making a difference, and the meaning of life! Then I saw a book entitled "1,000 Places to See Before You Die", and, to do my best Andy Rooney imitation, it occurred to me that NO ONE is going to see all of these 1,000 places before they die, so what a depressing idea for a book (and who the hell's so morbid that they're buying it?). 10 places to see before you die, I could buy that...
So before you know it, I've forgotten all about the crappy traffic and have lost myself again in the world of words. I have hundreds of books that I'll probably never read (well, at least a hundred, anyway) and you know what? I don't care. The whole idea of books gives me a sense of security. I walked out of the store having purchased nothing and feeling wiser all the same.
A Mea Culpa of Sorts
More Randomness
Rumsfield is staying...I'm not sure how I feel about that. I have the utmost respect for his intellect and abilities, and needless to say, his poetry. However, even as a staunch Iraq War supporter, I must say I think he bears a good share of the blame for the initially chaotic post-major combat period (although I don't agree that he is blame for Abu Ghraib). I also think the buck stops short of Bush, as a President has to have an expectation that his subordinates will handle the details - the job's just too big otherwise. Don't get me wrong, I'm an optimist on Iraq - the elections will happen and the lot of the Iraqi people will improve (in other words, we will 'win' the post-war, it's just too important not to), but conditions shouldn't have become so disorganized in the first place (hat tip to the Jawa Report)...
Another astonishingly poor Clinton pardon decision leads to a terrorist in academia (via RealClearPolitics)...
Just Browsing Around...
Excellent article in Commentary by James Wilson on Islam and Freedom. He makes the distinction between democracy and liberalism and says Iraq has a better chance at the latter. Quote:
There are more Muslim nations�indeed, more nations of any stripe�that provide a
reasonable level of freedom than ones that provide democracy in anything like
the American or British versions.
Wilson's basic argument is that a liberal society that respects freedom is more important than a democratic one. It's an interesting subtlety; I frankly must admit that my American mindset equates freedom with democracy. I'm going to have to think about this one...
David Limbaugh tells the Democratic party to stop marginalizing itself by engaging in racial conspiracies and other tactics that undermine the small "d" democratic process...
John C. Fortier says Bush must use his limited window of opportunity to push for Social Security and tax reform (I couldn't agree more)...
Thursday, December 02, 2004
An Embarassment of Riches
Right Wing News has two that caught my eye, one on the final count in Ohio (I won't spoil the suspense - oh, what the hell, Bush won!), and a very interesting quote from Anne Applebaum, who they say is a lefty (but she doesn't sound like one on her bio page...). I know Applebaum as the author of the 2004 Pulitzer Prize winner, Gulag: A History. Anyway, Anne has some harsh words for the "Freedom Haters" of the Radical Left....
bebere tugs on my heartstrings with some thoughts on men and jewelry...
The wrong guy resigns from the U.N. (hat tip to Instapundit)...
2004 Weblog Awards - Check It Out
Oil for Food, Part Four - Who Benefited?
"The idea that we need the U.N. to help us was certainly not a popular thing in focus groups that I watched this fall," dryly remarks senior Democratic strategist Anita Dunn.And now President Bush is calling for a complete accounting.
"Democrats first and foremost need to make it clear that they have a commitment to protect this country's security regardless of what other countries say. We live in a dangerous world at a dangerous time � and I'm not sure our party communicated that."
Clinton's ol' pardon buddy Marc Rich has been added to the mix, with allegations that he served as a middleman in illegal Iraqi oil deals one month after Clinton pardoned him (good call, Bill!). I've dealt elsewhere with the $150,000 in payments to Kofi Annan's son Kojo by an Oil-For-Food contractor. And obviously, Saddam benefitted enormously while the UN looked the other way. Here is a partial list of other beneficiaries, just a sampling of the magnitude of the corruption involved:
- Bayoil (a Texas oil company) and ultra-nationalist Russian politician Vladimir Zhirinovsky
- Benon Sevan (director of the Oil-For-Food program), George Galloway (Saddam-supporting British MP - now expelled) (see update 3 below), Indonesian President Megawati Sukarnoputri, and former French Interior Minister Charles Pasqua
- the families of terrorists targetting Israel
- French bank BNP Paribas
- former French ambassador to the United Nations, Jean-Bernard Merimee
- and over 250 other companies and individuals from over 50 countries (hat tip to Friends of Saddam).
This is really only scraping the surface. The more you find out about the UN, the greater the stench.
Update 8:52 pm central: One notable omission from the beneficiaries listed above, it occurs to me, is the Iraqi people.Update 2 11:03 pm central: The amazing Claudia Rosett adds another to the list and it's a biggie - are you ready for this? - al Qaeda!
Update 3 11:55 am central: Reader Steve points out to me (thanks, I missed it!) that pro-Saddam British MP George Galloway won a 150,000 pound judgment against the Daily Telegraph concerning his alleged payments from Saddam. Steve also points me to this Christian Science Monitor investigation showing some documents used to back up these allegations were forgeries. I should have been aware of this controversy prior to posting. Therefore, although we can say with some certainty that Galloway is a Radical Leftie against our Iraq policy, it may not be true that he is paid for being an appeaser.
Update 4 4/14/05 12:42 pm central: Getting a lot of hits today based on searches for Bayoil, because of the indictment of David B. Chalmers. Here's the important stuff:
Welcome to any new visitors; please look around and stay awhile...A Texas businessman, as well as a British and a Bulgarian citizen, have been indicted in New York for reportedly paying millions of dollars in secret kickbacks to Saddam Hussein's government in Iraq as part of the United Nations oil-for-food program.
The Texan, David B. Chalmers, a principal of Bay Oil (U.S.A.) Inc., and an associate of the oil trading company, Ludmil Dionissiev, a Bulgarian and permanent American resident, were arrested this morning at their homes in Houston.
Meanwhile, Back at the Ranch...
Peggy Noonan analyzes the career and fall of Dan Rather and finds it...(wait for it)...Nixon-like!...
Future Weekly Jackass Maureen Dowd goes on and on about how Tom Brokaw leaving means feminism is dead or something like that (yawn!)...
The UN gets at least one thing right, affirming the right of pre-emptive self-defense when an attack is imminent (of course, there's the sticky wicket, eh, what is 'imminent'?) (hat tip to my new best friend, the Instapundit - 6,500 visitors yesterday!)...
Some Honest-To-God 2008 Election News!
I've got some work to do this weekend on those candidate profiles...no mention of Cheney (no surprise there), so I'm knocking his odds down to 50-1.
Wednesday, December 01, 2004
Our First Weekly Jackass Award
So Rooney insults both the American and the Iraqi electorate in one fell swoop - and apparently doesn't see the glaring contradiction when he chides Bush for failing to win the support of the Iraqis (if only we had thought of the amazing insult strategy!).Rooney said he thought Iraq was "an ignorant society, not to be critical of them," a remark which was questioned later in his speech. Rooney defended the comment, saying that it is difficult to sell democracy in a country where few have access to the media and illiteracy is high, but acknowledged that "my attitude of the Iraqis is typical of the America I am complaining about."
Rooney also attributed voters' reliance on religion in the recent election to ignorance. "I am an atheist," Rooney said. "I don't understand religion at all. I'm sure I'll offend a lot of people by saying this, but I think it's all nonsense."
He said Christian fundamentalism is a result of "a lack of education. They haven't been exposed to what the world has to offer."
Rooney said he also could not understand how "men who work with their hands voted for George Bush," and again attributing the phenomenon to a lack of education. "The labor force is conservative," he said. "How in the world did that happen?"
Earlier this year, Rooney had a mock conversation with God and asked Mel Gibson how much money he stood to make off the crucifixion of Christ - so again, you see the astonishing consistency of this pea brain...if he's an atheist, as he states he is, what does he care? Examples of the man's lack of intelligence are easy to find, but let's just note in passing that Rooney has also managed to insult Greek Americans, Black Americans, gay Americans, and native Americans. So stand tall, Andy, we salute you as our Weekly Jackass!
Bush Must Press For Social Security Reform
Some Random Linkage
Pajama Jihad has version 1.0 of A Blue State Conservative's Manifesto...
Random Numbers has a simply breathtaking photo taken from the Hubble, while the Register has a story on its replacement...
Kofi Annan: The Drumbeat Grows Stronger
Next up is (who else?) Claudia Rosett, who rehearses the timeline of Kofi's highly selective disclosures of his son's conflict of interest with the Oil-For-Food program. I, for one, hope Ms. Rosett uses her investigations as the basis of a book-length study of this fiasco.