Tuesday, May 03, 2005

Comparing Decision '08 and the Pros

Presidential odds for 2008 are up at Sportsbook.com (apparently you have to be a member to get the full list), and I have some comparisons between the betting community and Decision '08. Of the five candidates listed at Taegan Goddard's Political Wire and already profiled by me, here are the relevant stats:
  • Hillary Clinton: Sportsbook.com 6-1, D'08 8-1
  • Rudy Giuliani: Sportsbook.com 10-1, D'08 10-1
  • Jeb Bush: Sportsbook.com 35-1, D'08 22-1
  • Condi: Sportsbook.com 15-1, D'08 14-1
  • Barack Obama: Sportsbook.com 30-1, D'08 27-1
Not bad, if I do say so myself...

UPDATE 2:34 p.m. - Reader Andrew S. rightly points out in the comments that the Sportsbook.com odds are apparently for winning the election, while mine are for the nomination. The upshot - I'm not as on target as I thought...well, it wouldn't be the first time I've overestimated myself...Thanks for the clarification, Andrew!

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